Category: ANALYSIS

Brunei – Economic Outlook 2022

         According to the detailed research of our analytic team, the anticipated recovery of the Brunei economy in 2021 has been derailed by the materialization of key downside risks—pandemic resurgence, unanticipated domestic oil and gas production disruptions, and delays in the commencement of FDI projects.           Domestic economic activity has been severely impacted by the re-imposition of containment measures. The Brunei economy shrank by 2.2 percent year on year in the third quarter of 2021, the fourth consecutive quarterly decline. Upstream and downstream oil and gas production have been weaker than expected, while some service activities have been hampered by mobility restrictions. Retail sales declined sharply in Q3 2021, reflecting limited consumer spending due to stay-at-home orders and voluntary social distancing to avoid contracting the virus. The contractions across almost all retail activities highlight the severity of the second COVID-19 wave, contrasting the resilience during the first wave in 2020.           The recovery in the hotel sub-sector has been halted by the second COVID-19 wave. Hotel occupancy rates had

The causes of Laos Inflation in 2022

          Nowadays, many situations are being fluctuated in each microeconomics around the world. Not only the increased cost of living but also the other causes that Laos has faced in this severe situation which lead to an economic crisis. It was begun with Laos’ public debt, fuel shortage, and depreciation of the Kip currency has down 36% against the dollar over the last year, 2021, together with inflation. Our analyst team mentioned the Laos inflation statistic compared in the same period in April to March from 5 years (2017), to last year (2021), and this year (2022)           Firstly, The inflation rate, In 2017, 5 years ago, The Bank of the Lao P.D.R reported an inflation rate of 1.52% in April, and the inflation rate decreased to 1.07% in May with the 6.83% of 2017 GDP, According to the report from CEIC Data. In the same period month last year in April 2021, the inflation rate was 3.23% and in May 2021 the inflation rate was 3.55%, this is the highest point

Vietnam’s Year in Review and Outlook for 2022

Vietnam suffered a challenging 2021, as it was hit hard by the pandemic, resulting in stringent lockdowns and affecting economic growth. Sustained pressure from COVID-19 outbreaks and supply chain disruption are likely to continue to have an impact into 2022. Nevertheless, with Vietnam slowly reopening, foreign investors maintain an optimistic outlook, with GDP projected at 6.5 percent in 2022. Vietnam Briefing examines some significant events that occurred this year and how they are likely to shape Vietnam’s business environment in 2022.     Vietnam’s 2021 was by far one of the most challenging years to date. While Vietnam was lauded globally for controlling the pandemic in 2020, the Delta variant proved overwhelming, resulting in strict lockdowns, interrupted production, and disrupted supply chains.     While most western countries suffered an excruciating 2020, Vietnam’s 2021 was harsh, with the pandemic hitting Vietnam’s GDP hard. In Q3 2021, Vietnam recorded its first-ever negative GDP, since 2000 significantly affecting businesses and its people significantly. Nevertheless, Vietnam still expects a positive GDP and as the government switches to a ‘living with the pandemic’ strategy,

10 Mega Trends 2022

          After passing through a pandemic, technology and sustainability tend to be replaced. People got used to working and studying while working from home, which is why technology has played an important role in the 2000s. People are living different lives than before. Many scientists and doctors mentioned that in 2022, the pandemic was forecasted to be an endemic disease. Here are the 10 mega trends for 2022. 1. Green innovation and nature-based solutions: Technology investment in green innovation and clean energy be able to adapt in the supply chain, such as increasing alternative energy portions in order to reduce emissions of greenhouse gasses, changing operation strategies in both manufacturing and service sectors, including whatever caused negative impacts in the supply chain, and increasing environmental awareness. 2. Hybrid Working: Owing to the over 2 year isolation of people, 91% of employees require “hybrid working”, which before was only 9%. Hybrid working procedures are being converted into the new normal in society. The Cisco Global Workforce Survey found that businesses have been facing the challenges of a

Best 19 Small Business Ideas in Malaysia for 2022

In this article you will find the best advice from our professional and experienced analytic team regarding the fact that you want to start a business in Malaysia. In this post, we have put together a list of the most profitable small business ideas in Malaysia to inspire you to start your own business venture. Malaysia is a southeast Asian country. The country has a highly open, upper-middle-income economy. The country’s economy is shifting into higher value-added activities in both industry and services. In addition, the country is a leading exporter of electrical appliances, electronic parts and components, palm oil, and natural gas. Manufacturing has a large influence on the country’s economy, accounting for over 40% of the GDP. The 2016 edition of the World Bank’s “Ease of Doing Business” report ranks Malaysia at 18 in the world and the second in Southeast Asia—behind Singapore. In addition, the government is moving towards a more business-friendly environment by setting up a special task force to facilitate business called PEMUDAH. The objective of the scheme is to simplify the business environment in

2022 Economy analytics of Myanmar

With 2020–2021 so severely disrupted, our team of highly professional and experienced analysts at Thunder X Pay started looking ahead to 2022 and what changes could be on the horizon that could positively impact doing business in Myanmar (Burma). Context While Myanmar responded early and decisively to the COVID-19 pandemic thereby limiting adverse health impacts, evidence from the Myanmar COVID-19 Monitoring Platform shows that impacts on households’ welfare were significant. Border movement restrictions starting in February and a complete lockdown between March and April forced non-essential businesses to cease operations and prevented people from traveling to work. Meanwhile, about 100,000 economic migrants returned from Thailand alone. As a result, in May 2020, about 54 percent of households’ main workers reported not working and about 16 percent of firms had temporarily closed. The easing of restrictions between May and August contributed to a partial rebound of the economy, which is still suffering from the impact of reduced global demand, border trade disruptions, and potential changes in consumer behaviors. Strict stay-at-home orders were introduced in Rakhine State in mid-August, followed by similar orders

Gold price forecast for 2022 and the following situations

The gold market has increased in order to reach its highest level since 2020 on March 8th as investors seek secured assets in response to Russia’s conquering of Ukraine. At the end of 2021, the gold price reached $1,828.60 an ounce and declined by 2.9% for the year, while investors tended to avoid metals in anticipation of higher interest rates. “The war in Ukraine has significant and obvious implications for commodity prices, which could lead to a more persistent inflationary shock. For the time being, direct implications of the conflict as a growth shock are more limited in the US, given that direct trade flows are marginal. But indirect implications are more relevant, as ongoing disruptions to supply chains are likely to have a spillover impact, while inflation is also likely to act as a tax on consumers. In turn, the market continues to price-out a 50bp Fed hike for March, but the implications for the subsequent rate path are less clear.” Our highly professional team persisted that the simple moving average (SMA), together with the exponential moving average (EMA),

Forecasting oil prices according to international benchmark Brent crude by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)

According to The US Energy Information Administration (EIA), The forecast for the global crude oil price is dramatically raised from the 2022 forecast by around 27%. The EIA regulated the spot price of Brent crude by $22 per barrel to an average of $105.22 per barrel, together with the American benchmark  West Texas Intermediate (WTI) at $101.17 a barrel. Moreover, The higher price of Brent crude forecast was partly related to uncertainties that resulted from the invasion of Russia in Ukraine. Until 2023, the EIA predicts that Brent will decline to $88.98 per barrel, while WTI will fall to $84.98 a barrel. Nonetheless, the EIA cautioned that the price forecast is “highly uncertain,” due to the protracted uncertainties-impact of the Russia and Ukraine situations. Not only will the other oil producers respond to current oil prices, but also the macroeconomic development impact which will be affected by the oil price as well. “Although we reduced Russia’s oil production in our forecast, we still expect that global oil inventories will build at an average rate of 500,000 barrels per day (bpd)

An expert overview of business in Cambodia 2022

With 2020–2021 so severely disrupted, our team of highly professional and experienced analysts at Thunder X Pay started looking ahead to 2022 and what changes could be on the horizon that could positively impact doing business in Cambodia. Our analyist team will update this content as new announcements are made. Feature Photo Credit: Chinese Embassy of Cambodia –  The new Morodok Techo National Stadium.  COVID-19 in Cambodia The Prime Minister said the target was to vaccinate 10 million adults by November 2021, with the goal of vaccinating 2 million adolescents aged 12-17 by the end of 2021 in order to build herd immunity. Phnom Penh ranked as one of the most vaccinated capital cities in the world, with around 99% of adults fully vaccinated in Q3 2021. However, booster shots of Johnson & Johnson and Aztrazenica were rolled out as there were some concerns over the efficacy of Sinopharm and Sinovac in battling the Delta variant towards the end of 2021. By the time Omicron was identified, Cambodia had one of the highest vaccination and booster rates globally and as a

Laos Economic Expert Outlook

In this article, our experienced analytic team would like to share their professional opinion regarding Laos’ economic condition and potential in 2022. GDP growth last year was probably tepid, hit by multiple Covid-19 waves and the ensuing imposition of restrictions, with rising inflation also likely limiting activity by capping consumers’ purchasing power. At the start of the new year, momentum is likely to have remained restrained amid a surge in Covid-19 caseloads and persistently high price pressures, with the currency continuing to weaken. That said, the latest wave of infections has recently begun to abate, allowing the country to slightly loosen restrictions in January and February, boding more positively for activity ahead. In other news, despite much optimism following its opening in December, the China-Laos railway appears unlikely to boost activity early in the year, with local media reporting that Lao exports to China have been held up by tough Chinese border restrictions amid the ongoing Winter Olympics and the country’s zero-Covid policy. Due to the detailed analysis, has been conducted by our analytic team, the economy should gain steam