Category: News

Asia FX market got deeper, amid Fed uncertainty. USD is going to be stronger.

Most of the Asian currencies retreated on Friday, coming under pressure from uncertainty over U.S. monetary policy following mixed economic readings this week. The Chinese yuan traded at two-month lows after the worse-than-expected trade and inflation data released this week pointed to a slowing economic rebound in Asia’s largest economy. Weakness in the Chinese economy dulled sentiment towards broader Asian markets. The South Korean won fell 0.2%, while the Malaysian ringgit shed 0.3%, even as data showed that Malaysia’s economy grew more than expected in the first quarter. The Australian dollar shed 0.1% but remained relatively underpinned by expectations of more interest rate hikes by the Reserve Bank. The Japanese yen fell 0.1% and was set for mild weekly gains as fears of a U.S. banking crisis and uncertainty over the debt ceiling made for some safe-haven demand. Published on  17 May 2023 By Michael S.

Pound (GBP) Jumps after Hotter-than-Forecast Inflation

Renewed Bank of England (BoE) interest rate hike bets lifted the Pound (GBP) yesterday following a hotter-than-expected consumer price index. UK inflation remained in double digits at 10.1%, rather than easing to 9.8%, prompting expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates again next month. Movement could be more subdued today amid a lack of economic data. Ongoing BoE bets could help Sterling hold strong. Published on 26/04/2023 By Michael S.

Biden and Republicans are hopeful of a deal. The US debt ceiling is in focus.

President Joe Biden and Republican leaders have expressed cautious optimism that a deal to raise the US debt ceiling is within reach, following emergency talks at the White House. Without a deal, the US could enter a calamitous default on its $31.4tr (£25tr) debt as soon as 1 June. A failure by the US government to meet its debt obligations could trigger global financial chaos. The Democratic president said Tuesday’s hour-long Oval Office meeting was “good, productive”, sounding upbeat about the prospects of an agreement. Mr. McCarthy said afterward he believed a deal was possible by the end of this week. In exchange for support for raising the debt ceiling, Republican leaders are demanding budget cuts. They also want tougher work requirements for government aid recipients. Published on 24/05/2023 By Michael S.

Pound (GBP) Jumps after Hotter-than-Forecast Inflation

Renewed Bank of England (BoE) interest rate hike bets lifted the Pound (GBP) yesterday following a hotter-than-expected consumer price index. UK inflation remained in double digits at 10.1%, rather than easing to 9.8%, prompting expectations that the BoE will raise interest rates again next month. Movement could be more subdued today amid a lack of economic data. Ongoing BoE bets could help Sterling hold strong. Published on 26/04/2023 By Michael S.

Another 0.25% increase in interest rate from FED

          Since the inflation has eased yet remains rising, additionally, Russia’s war in Ukraine isn’t impacted much but causing the global uncertainty mentioned by FED.  In its Feb. 1 policy decision, the Fed raised the target range for benchmark interest rates by another 0.25%, setting the range at 4.5%-4.75%, the highest since 2007.         With unanimous voting in favor of the rate increase, FED policymakers mentioned in a policy statement that “ongoing increases” in interest rates will likely be appropriate to obtain a monetary policy stance that is “sufficiently restrictive” — in effect countering the recent easing in financial conditions that has resulted from higher stock prices and a moderation in rates for Treasuries and other bonds.         Meanwhile, Thailand’s finance minister, Arkhom Termpittayapaisith, mentioned that Thailand’s interest rate has been reasonably adjusted, and raising too much will sharply drag down the economy which is getting better. Even the private sector said the baht was too strong, “but it’s not very strong,” and “The baht is strengthening on the fundamentals

Russian oil production was announced 5% to be cut

          Since Russia was threatened to be boycotted by the western, Russia plans to cut its oil production output by 500,000 barrels a day in March. This movement caused sharp increasing oil prices.         Regarding the Russian announcement, Oil Market has been turmoiled causing disruption to the Russian demand. It further tightens supply constraints from OPEC+, which Saudi Arabia had already led into a 2 million barrel-a-day production cut last year in an effort to buoy prices. Delegates from the group signaled they won’t take any action to fill in the gap created by Russia.          Russia’s reduction is equivalent to about 5% of its January output. The Kremlin has repeatedly hinted at such a move since the European Union and the Group of Seven industrialized countries began discussing capping the price of Russian crude and refined product exports amid the war in Ukraine.          “Russia believes that the mechanism of price caps on Russian oil and petroleum products is an intervention in market relations and an

Myanmar’s mobile payment under military control

          On 1 February 2023, A 2-year mark the Myanmar military initiated a deadly coup, ripping the country out of democratic transition. Mobile payments have become more common use in Myanmar after a severe shortage of cash pushed consumers to explore digital alternatives.           Since last year, the regime has frozen the bank accounts and mobile money wallets of people who give financial support to the anti-coup resistance. Subsequently, The military junta maintains command of Myanmar’s banking system to keep a complete record. It has imposed increasingly authoritarian rules on either transferring or receiving mobile payments to keep personal information through its mobile wallet apps.           The military government is supportive of this shift. At a January meeting with electronic payment companies, the Myanmar central bank called for reducing the use of cash and promoting the use of QR codes and payment apps. Currently, Some are now avoiding mobile payments altogether, fearing attention from the authorities. Published 10/02/2023 By Ashley Jones

The Laos currency exchange business temporarily suspended their operations

          On Friday, 20 January 2023, The Bank of the Lao PDR (BOL) issued a statement that stated further measures to restrain the depreciation of its currency. In addition, the notice states demanding that 113 exchange businesses affiliated with the 6 commercial banks temporarily suspend their operations as well as revoke the business licenses and instruct the banks to discontinue their contracts with these businesses. BOL will now proceed to close the deposit accounts of registered currency exchange businesses that worked with commercial banks. Exchange businesses have been urged as well to return any contracts or agreements to the Department of Monetary Policy or the relevant departments of the BOL by 31 January. In accordance, The individuals or entities must first obtain the proper license from the central bank for the purpose. Moreover, the exchange businesses for the tourism or hospitality industry are only allowed. This was done to control the exchange rates of foreign currencies within the country. Published 02/02/2023 By Ashley Jones

Digital-yuan has been introduced as a new token

          E-CNY is a digitized version of China’s cash and coins transferred using its blockchain ledger. Those experts have been monitoring efforts in China and other countries developing and piloting central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) to establish blockchain-based virtual cash that is cheaper to use and faster to exchange, both at home and across international borders.          Starting from December 2022, e-CNY in circulation has been included in the amount of currency in circulation. Showing currently, the Bank of China has distributed the digital yuan to 15 of China’s 23 provinces, and it has been used in more than 360 million transactions totaling north of 100 billion yuan, or $13.9 billion.         These changes in the money supply reserved by the central bank are arrived grew at 15.3%, the fastest pace in 11 months, to 10.5 trillion yuan in December 2022, with the digital yuan representing only 0.13% of the total. According to the data, The number seems didn’t show significant changes. “What needs to change is the digital yuan